Trader Training - Free Educational Trading
Articles:
The Simpleton's Fibonacci
Pages >> 1 | 2|
3 | 4 | 5
| 6
Nasdaq COMPX
Range |
MSH
MSL |
Support Resistance |
R1 |
R2 |
100%
Range
Pivot
|
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
PTR |
N/A |
Support |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
PTR |
N/A |
Resistance |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ITR |
1753.83 |
Support |
1737.01 |
1726.83 |
1709.81 |
1692.99 |
1682.61 |
1638.59 |
ITR |
1709.01 |
Resistance |
1726.83 |
1737.01 |
1753.83 |
1770.65 |
1781.03 |
1825.01 |
GTR |
1836.19 |
Support |
1791.10 |
1763.24 |
1718.15 |
1673.06 |
1645.20 |
1527.16 |
GTR
|
1718.15
|
Resistance
|
1763.24 |
1791.10 |
1836.19 |
1881.28 |
1909.14 |
2027.18
|
DTR |
2264.58 |
Support |
2093.87
|
1988.41 |
1817.70 |
1646.99 |
1541.53 |
1094.65 |
DTR |
1817.70 |
Resistance |
1988.41 |
2093.87 |
2264.58 |
2435.29 |
2540.75 |
2987.63 |
DOW - INDU
Range |
MSH
MSL |
Support
Resistance |
R1 |
R2 |
100%
Range
Pivot |
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
PTR |
N/A |
Support |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
PTR |
N/A |
Resistance |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ITR |
9958.10 |
Support |
9907.76 |
9876.65 |
9826.31 |
9775.97 |
9744.86 |
9613.07 |
ITR |
9826.31 |
Resistance
|
9876.65 |
9907.76 |
9958.10 |
10008.44 |
10039.55 |
10171.34 |
GTR |
10178.64 |
Support |
10066.91
|
9997.89 |
9886.16 |
9774.43
|
9705.41 |
9412.93 |
GTR |
9886.16 |
Resistance |
9997.89 |
10066.91 |
10178.64 |
10290.37 |
10359.39 |
10651.87 |
DTR |
11196.53 |
Support |
10689.47 |
10376.20 |
9869.14 |
9362.08 |
9048.81 |
7721.42 |
DTR |
9869.14 |
Resistance |
10376.20 |
10689.47 |
11196.53 |
11703.59 |
12016.86 |
13344.25 |
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – SOX.X
Range |
MSH
MSL |
Support
Resistance |
R1 |
R2 |
100%
Range
Pivot |
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
PTR |
N/A |
Support |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
PTR |
N/A |
Resistance |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
ITR |
528.56 |
Support |
520.20 |
515.03 |
506.67 |
498.31 |
493.14 |
471.25 |
ITR |
506.67 |
Resistance |
515.03 |
520.20 |
528.56 |
536.92 |
542.09 |
563.98 |
GTR |
572.4 |
Support |
549.84 |
535.91 |
513.35 |
490.79 |
476.86 |
417.81 |
GTR |
513.35 |
Resistance |
535.91 |
549.84 |
572.40 |
594.96 |
608.89 |
667.94 |
DTR |
697.04 |
Support |
594.34 |
633.56 |
697.04 |
760.52 |
799.74 |
965.92 |
DTR |
530.86 |
Resistance |
633.56 |
594.34 |
530.86 |
467.38 |
428.16 |
261.98 |
My road map is now complete. I am visibly aware of not only the futures,
but the support and resistance pivots of my major indexes. So I tie it
all together now into today’s game plan, which for me is usually
the NQ or ES E-mini contracts and only one focus stock. QCOM is usually
good for ranges so I load that up to complete my trading plan.
QUALCOMM Incorporated - QCOM
Range |
MSH
MSL |
Support
Resistance |
R1 |
R2 |
100%
Range
Pivot |
R3 |
R4 |
R5 |
|
PTR
|
53.85 |
Support |
53.32 |
52.98 |
52.45 |
51.92 |
51.58 |
50.18 |
PTR |
52.45 |
Resistance |
52.98 |
53.32 |
53.85 |
54.38 |
54.72 |
56.12 |
ITR |
54.96 |
Support |
53.05 |
51.88 |
49.97 |
48.06 |
46.89 |
41.90 |
ITR |
49.97 |
Resistance |
51.88 |
53.05 |
54.96 |
56.87 |
58.04 |
63.03 |
GTR |
58.50 |
Support |
55.90 |
54.30 |
51.70 |
49.10 |
47.50 |
|
GTR |
51.70 |
Resistance |
54.30 |
55.90 |
58.50 |
61.10 |
62.70 |
69.50 |
DTR |
68.87 |
Support |
61.22 |
56.50 |
48.85 |
41.20 |
36.48 |
16.46 |
DTR |
48.85 |
Resistance |
56.50 |
61.22 |
68.87 |
76.52 |
81.24 |
101.26 |
So this was my trading plan, clearly in front of me on September 6, 2001.
Some notes here so you can compare with what actually occurred:
• The Nasdaq NQ E-Mini contracts - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR)
Market Structure High that formed later that day came in at 1395.00. My
R1 resistance projection for ITR was 1395.65 The Market Structure Low
that formed later that day was at 1372 and then failed. This was right
above or our initial PTR MSL of 1370.00.
• COMPX - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High
that formed later that day on 1727.03 – slightly above the projection
of 1726.83 - The Market Structure Low that formed later that day was at
1709.88 and then failed. This was right off the 100% range pivot established
earlier.
• INDU - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High
that formed later that day on 9896.05 – about 11 DOW points of the
R2 resistance projection. There was not a subsequent Market Structure
Low that formed this day.
• SOX.X - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High
that formed later that day on 523.70, between the R1 and R2 resistance
pivots. Not much to write home about. There was not a subsequent Market
Structure Low that formed this day.
• QCOM - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High
that formed later that day on 50.93 – there was beneath projected
resistance pivots. There was not a subsequent Market Structure Low, in
fact it sold all the way down to 48.40 on the closing candle. The R3 projected
support was 48.03.
Okay then. I explained the idea of “Trading Ranges.” I hope
I have also demonstrated the value of using them in your master-trading
plan.
As a trader, especially in our current market environment, you are no
better off than the student pilot who is trying to land his airplane after
getting caught in dense fog.*
Think of Trading Range, and the Fibonacci based Range Pivots as your
ILS, your instrument landing system. If you learn and practice these with
discipline, they will guide you right to the center of the runway, every
time.
"It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of
all of his mistakes. They say there are two sides to everything.
But there is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the
bull side or the bear side, but the right side. It took me longer
to get that general principle fixed firmly in my mind than it did
most of the more technical phases of the game of stock speculation"
----from REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR |
 |
|