The King's Trader Education

 


Trader Training - Free Educational Trading Articles:

The Simpleton's Fibonacci

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Nasdaq COMPX

Range

MSH
MSL

Support Resistance

R1

R2


100%
Range
Pivot

R3

R4

R5

PTR

N/A

Support

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

PTR

N/A

Resistance

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

ITR

1753.83

Support

1737.01

1726.83

1709.81

1692.99

1682.61

1638.59

ITR

1709.01

Resistance

1726.83

1737.01

1753.83

1770.65

1781.03

1825.01

GTR

1836.19

Support

1791.10

1763.24

1718.15

1673.06

1645.20

1527.16


GTR


1718.15


Resistance

1763.24

1791.10

1836.19

1881.28

1909.14


2027.18

DTR

2264.58

Support


2093.87

1988.41

1817.70

1646.99

1541.53

1094.65

DTR

1817.70

Resistance

1988.41

2093.87

2264.58

2435.29

2540.75

2987.63

DOW - INDU

Range

MSH
MSL

Support
Resistance

R1

R2

100%
Range
Pivot

R3

R4

R5

PTR

N/A

Support

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

PTR

N/A

Resistance

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

ITR

9958.10

Support

9907.76

9876.65

9826.31

9775.97

9744.86

9613.07

ITR

9826.31


Resistance

9876.65

9907.76

9958.10

10008.44

10039.55

10171.34

GTR

10178.64

Support


10066.91

9997.89

9886.16


9774.43

9705.41

9412.93

GTR

9886.16

Resistance

9997.89

10066.91

10178.64

10290.37

10359.39

10651.87

DTR

11196.53

Support

10689.47

10376.20

9869.14

9362.08

9048.81

7721.42

DTR

9869.14

Resistance

10376.20

10689.47

11196.53

11703.59

12016.86

13344.25

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – SOX.X

Range

MSH
MSL

Support
Resistance

R1

R2

100%
Range
Pivot

R3

R4

R5

PTR

N/A

Support

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

PTR

N/A

Resistance

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

ITR

528.56

Support

520.20

515.03

506.67

498.31

493.14

471.25

ITR

506.67

Resistance

515.03

520.20

528.56

536.92

542.09

563.98

GTR

572.4

Support

549.84

535.91

513.35

490.79

476.86

417.81

GTR

513.35

Resistance

535.91

549.84

572.40

594.96

608.89

667.94

DTR

697.04

Support

594.34

633.56

697.04

760.52

799.74

965.92

DTR

530.86

Resistance

633.56

594.34

530.86

467.38

428.16

261.98

My road map is now complete. I am visibly aware of not only the futures, but the support and resistance pivots of my major indexes. So I tie it all together now into today’s game plan, which for me is usually the NQ or ES E-mini contracts and only one focus stock. QCOM is usually good for ranges so I load that up to complete my trading plan.

QUALCOMM Incorporated - QCOM

Range

MSH
MSL

Support
Resistance

R1

R2

100%
Range
Pivot

R3

R4

R5


PTR

53.85

Support

53.32

52.98

52.45

51.92

51.58

50.18

PTR

52.45

Resistance

52.98

53.32

53.85

54.38

54.72

56.12

ITR

54.96

Support

53.05

51.88

49.97

48.06

46.89

41.90

ITR

49.97

Resistance

51.88

53.05

54.96

56.87

58.04

63.03

GTR

58.50

Support

55.90

54.30

51.70

49.10

47.50

 

GTR

51.70

Resistance

54.30

55.90

58.50

61.10

62.70

69.50

DTR

68.87

Support

61.22

56.50

48.85

41.20

36.48

16.46

DTR

48.85

Resistance

56.50

61.22

68.87

76.52

81.24

101.26




So this was my trading plan, clearly in front of me on September 6, 2001. Some notes here so you can compare with what actually occurred:


• The Nasdaq NQ E-Mini contracts - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High that formed later that day came in at 1395.00. My R1 resistance projection for ITR was 1395.65 The Market Structure Low that formed later that day was at 1372 and then failed. This was right above or our initial PTR MSL of 1370.00.

• COMPX - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High that formed later that day on 1727.03 – slightly above the projection of 1726.83 - The Market Structure Low that formed later that day was at 1709.88 and then failed. This was right off the 100% range pivot established earlier.

• INDU - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High that formed later that day on 9896.05 – about 11 DOW points of the R2 resistance projection. There was not a subsequent Market Structure Low that formed this day.

• SOX.X - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High that formed later that day on 523.70, between the R1 and R2 resistance pivots. Not much to write home about. There was not a subsequent Market Structure Low that formed this day.

• QCOM - The Immediate Trading Range (ITR) Market Structure High that formed later that day on 50.93 – there was beneath projected resistance pivots. There was not a subsequent Market Structure Low, in fact it sold all the way down to 48.40 on the closing candle. The R3 projected support was 48.03.

Okay then. I explained the idea of “Trading Ranges.” I hope I have also demonstrated the value of using them in your master-trading plan.

As a trader, especially in our current market environment, you are no better off than the student pilot who is trying to land his airplane after getting caught in dense fog.*

Think of Trading Range, and the Fibonacci based Range Pivots as your ILS, your instrument landing system. If you learn and practice these with discipline, they will guide you right to the center of the runway, every time.

"It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of all of his mistakes. They say there are two sides to everything. But there is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side. It took me longer to get that general principle fixed firmly in my mind than it did most of the more technical phases of the game of stock speculation" ----from REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR